Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 11.584180 12.895562 14.309140 15.948508 17.800355 19.830749 22.230041
2025-07-27 9.727421 11.546270 13.651599 16.278660 19.482813 23.281252 28.151049
2025-08-03 8.163610 10.230978 12.773759 16.154155 20.564281 26.169021 33.905325
2025-08-10 6.952508 9.131914 11.957807 15.930130 21.433248 28.880924 39.881938
2025-08-17 6.010650 8.225529 11.233842 15.677665 22.175582 31.487446 46.129807
2025-08-24 5.294732 7.515212 10.658911 15.515539 22.975765 34.246111 53.034658
2025-08-31 4.745182 6.960927 10.218256 15.461162 23.889938 37.266587 60.832466
2025-09-07 4.393343 6.647917 10.082400 15.830974 25.486461 41.560931 71.458277
2025-09-14 3.991132 6.206012 9.687492 15.720709 26.259542 44.579545 80.384086
2025-09-21 3.603724 5.741829 9.198610 15.380213 26.570970 46.812024 88.231873
2025-09-28 3.309199 5.395743 8.860718 15.246143 27.210824 49.702355 97.849303
2025-10-05 3.156424 5.269420 8.875906 15.731403 29.044296 55.100214 113.597127
2025-10-12 3.007882 5.140438 8.881209 16.216663 30.985455 61.102992 132.113066
2025-10-19 2.833752 4.948685 8.753687 16.434605 32.431986 66.347262 150.142091
2025-10-26 2.622806 4.669363 8.435610 16.239016 32.997346 69.805752 164.747053
2025-11-02 2.425874 4.397320 8.103225 15.972772 33.372035 72.902764 179.184294
2025-11-09 2.248333 4.145598 7.784653 15.695582 33.681086 75.899359 194.082783
2025-11-16 2.099557 3.936015 7.528320 15.519102 34.192209 79.465729 211.420844
2025-11-23 1.976514 3.766128 7.335102 15.456291 34.959339 83.799571 232.061813
2025-11-30 1.904939 3.693090 7.333374 15.820806 36.811749 91.254604 264.047737
2025-12-07 1.795987 3.533759 7.134518 15.707556 37.457136 95.618649 287.580817
2025-12-14 1.677081 3.343798 6.852500 15.365590 37.466858 98.236971 306.141569
2025-12-21 1.585124 3.203409 6.665749 15.230603 38.000762 102.441491 331.322899